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Financial Indexes
Stocks and bonds aren't the sort of thing the novice investor
typically thinks of as a commodity. Even less do they view a
statistical measurement of changes in their prices as similar
to gold, wheat or oil. Yet, because stocks and bonds (and the
indexes that measure price changes) trade in the form of
futures and options contracts, they can be traded in the same
way as other commodities.
While oil remains the most traded physical commodity, the
financial futures market today is the largest for all contracts
traded. One of the most popular is the contract for the
Standard and Poor's 500 Index, the S&P 500.
As the, so to speak, gold standard of indexes the S&P gives
traders a broad view of the stock market as a whole. The
companies contained in the S&P 500 represent 80% of the
entire market capitalization - the top 40 stocks in the S&P
500 represent 50% of its total.
That means traders can be confident that there will be no
liquidity problems, as sometimes happens with some other
commodities.
It also means risk is easier to assess. The tools available to
measure and predict the S&P 500 are more reliable, since
predicting stock prices is much easier than that of
commodities. Easier, but definitely not easy. Just as one
example, the stocks in the S&P 500 have reliably offered
the highest return over a 30 year period of any investment,
around 12% depending on the range selected.
Stock prices can definitely be volatile, and large single-day
price drops have happened several times. But indexes typically,
by design, move less far and less rapidly than other prices.
The idea of using a broad based index is precisely to smooth
out the bumps of individual stocks, in order to assess the
direction of the market as a whole.
Yet, along with reduced risk and better predictability, traders
still enjoy the other advantages attendant on using futures and
options as trading vehicles. Margin percentages are in the 5-7%
range, so high leverage is still available, as it is with other
commodities futures and options contracts.
Commodities trading is often very short-term oriented, with day
trading the norm. Yet with index trading, investors can take
advantage of those sharp swings, yet still take a long-term
horizon view, as they would with ordinary stock investing.
For example, one common trading strategy is the 'rollover'.
This technique allows traders to take a long position on a
futures contract, then - as expiration nears - transfer the
position to another contract with an expiration date farther
out into the future.
This 'spread' strategy makes it possible to take advantage of
price differentials and low commissions, while controlling the
liquidation date. It's executed when traders predict that
prices will soon move in the preferred direction, where 'soon'
is just beyond the expiration date.
S&P Index futures are traded on the CME (Chicago Mercantile
Exchange), and there's even an S&P 500 'E-mini' contract
available, which carries a smaller commitment - one-fifth the
standard contract. The trade unit is $50 time the S&P 500
Index. The trade unit for the standard contract is $250 times
the S&P 500. In addition, since it trades all
electronically, with no open outcry or pit trading, trading
hours are almost around the clock.
For current prices and contract specifics, see the CME website
at http://www.cme.com/.
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