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Different Types For Different
Results
Corporate or Government. AAA or Junk. Subordinated or
unsubordinated. 30 year or 3 month. The list goes on.
Classifying and tracking the different types of bonds is a
full-time job for many. Ok, maybe not everyone's idea of an
exciting career, but necessary and extremely helpful to the
investor.
ISSUER and RISK
One way to divide bond types is by issuer. The practice isn't
trivial, since it guides the investor in making decisions about
risk, yield and tax liability.
Bonds range from U.S. Treasury (or Euro) bonds, bills or notes
(the terms refer to different maturities - the number of years
before the principal is repaid), considered among the lowest
risk, down to corporate junk bonds or worse.
Risk and yield (total return over time, in percentage terms)
tend to be correlated. That is, a low risk bond tends to yield
a low return (say 3%). Junk bonds have some of the highest
yields, but are some of the riskiest since the chance of
default on the principal is high. If the business fails, even
though bondholders get priority on assets, position in line is
unimportant if there's nothing to hand out.
When a company does default with salable assets, priority comes
into play. When assets are liquidated, unsubordinated (senior)
security holders are paid before subordinated, who are paid
before shareholders (owners of stock). Hence, bonds carry
classifications of Subordinated or Unsubordinated - something
to consider when making estimates of risk.
MATURITY and YIELDS
Bonds can be categorized by Maturity - the length of time from
issuance to repayment of principal. Periods range from 3-month
to 30-year, with 6-month, 2-year, 3-year, 5-year and 10-year
also standard. Corporates tend to be on the shorter end of the
scale.
The existence of different periods entails the need to
consider: (1) How long to invest capital vs the desire or need
to sell prior to maturity date - which implies the possiblity
of selling at a loss, (2) calculation of total yield vs what
could be obtained from another investment.
Calculating yield is a bit complex for the average investor,
but fortunately utilities to perform it are readily available
on the Internet. For those interested in the mathematics the
formula is:
c(1 + r)-1 + c(1 + r)-2 + . . . + c(1 + r)-n + B(1 + r)-n =
P
where
c = annual coupon payment (in dollars, not a percentage)
n = number of years until maturity
B = par value (original issue price)
P = purchase price
Suppose a bond is selling for $950, and has a coupon rate of
7%, it matures in 4 years, and the par value (original issue
price or face value) is $1000. What's the YTM, Yield To
Maturity? The coupon payment is $70 (that's 7% of $1000), so
the equation is:
70(1 + r)-1 + 70(1 + r)-2 + 70(1 + r)-3 + 70(1 + r)-4 + 1000(1
+ r)-4 = 950.
Using one such caculator: r = 8.53% which is the Yield. You can
observe it's higher than the rate.
PREDICTABILITY
The details are complicated, but the lesson is simple and to
the investor's advantage. Since bonds have fixed
characteristics their risks and returns are much more readily
predictable with confidence. No investment is certain, but
bonds have attractive features not shared by other choices.
Every portfolio should have some.
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